If Trump And Obama Both Ran In 2028 Election, This Is Who Would Win

A recent poll has examined a purely hypothetical 2028 presidential race between Donald Trump and Barack Obama, two of the most prominent figures in modern U.S. politics.

Trump, who returned to the White House in 2024, has fueled speculation about a potential third run. While the U.S. Constitution bars presidents from serving more than two terms, some of his allies have continued to push the idea.

The 22nd Amendment clearly limits presidents to two elections. Any change would require a constitutional amendment, needing supermajorities in Congress and ratification by most states—an extremely difficult path. Still, the discussion persists among supporters and analysts.

On the Democratic side, Obama’s name often surfaces as a contrast to Trump. The former president, who left office in 2017, remains highly popular with many voters, though he has given no indication of wanting to return. Like Trump, he is also constitutionally barred from another term.

To gauge public opinion, J.L. Partners and the Daily Mail polled 1,013 registered voters. Obama performed strongly with Hispanic voters (73 percent) and Black voters (68 percent). Trump maintained an edge among older white voters and those without college degrees.

The survey also tested Trump against other Democrats, showing he would narrowly beat both Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden. Biden’s age and health continue to spark debate, with some experts questioning his cognitive fitness.

Overall, the poll found Obama leading Trump 52 percent to 41 percent. While neither man is eligible to run, the results highlight their enduring influence on American politics.